Inflation uncertainty, macroeconomic instability and the efficiency of financial institutions

Financial Intermediation, Leverage, and Macroeconomic Instability

This paper investigates how financial-sector leverage affects macroeconomic instability and welfare. In the model, banks borrow (use leverage) to allocate resources to productive projects and provide liquidity. When banks do not actively issue new equity, aggregate outcomes depend on the level of equity in the financial sector. Equilibrium is inefficient because agents do not internalize how th...

Political Institutions, Policy Instability, and Financial Dollarization

The most recent generation of currency and nancial crisis literature blames the borrowing decisions of real and nancial sector actors; in particular, it argues that the de facto dollarization of liabilities is inherently risky and can trigger a host of economic ills that impede economic development. This paper presents and tests an institutional theory of de facto nancial dollarization. It argu...

The Relation Between Inflation and Inflation Uncertainty In Iran

Inflation, Inflation Uncertainty, Political Instability, and Economic Growth

This paper uses a new data set that better measures inflation uncertainty to investigate the effects of inflation and inflation uncertainty on economic growth. In the cross section of forty-four countries that the new data allows, inflation uncertainty has a significant negative impact on economic growth. Uncertainty performs better than inflation crisis as an explanatory variable of economic g...

International Institutions for Reducing Global Financial Instability

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